Published work and policy contributions

Journal article

Climate at what cost? A survey experiment on trade-offs between decarbonization ambitions and socioeconomic costs

van der Duin, D., Nicoli, F. & B. Burgoon

Energy Research & Social Science, Volume 139, 2026, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2026.104877

Policy paper or report

Completing the Puzzle of European Public Procurement Reform: Towards a European System of Supplier Qualification?

Karolis Granickas, Francesco Nicoli, Manfred Hafner, Desiderio Berdini

Fondazione CSF Research Papers, No. 02/2026

Policy paper or report

Europe's Sovereignty Paradox

Nicoli, D

Fondazione CSF Policy Papers, No.011/2026

Policy paper or report

Europe's space Trilemma

Nicoli, F. & G. Conte

Fondazione CSF Research Papers, No. 03/2026

Journal article

From Sputnik to Starship: Estimating the experience curve of space launch technology

Terzi, A. & F. Nicoli

PNAS Nexus, Volume 5, Issue 7, July 2026, https://doi.org/10.1093/pnasnexus/pgag217

Journal article

Geopolitics and space access: cost asymmetries and strategic dependence

Terzi, A. & F. Nicoli

Economics Letters Volume 268/2026, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2026.113182

Policy paper or report

Go European? How a European Supplier Qualification Authority can unlock cross border procurement

Desiderio Berdini, Francesco Nicoli, Karolis Granickas, Manfred Hafner

IEP Policy Brief Series, No. 60/2026

Book or edited volume

The Handbook of European Union Solidarity. Routledge, forthcoming

Reinl, A. K. and F. Nicoli

The Handbook of European Union Solidarity. Routledge, forthcoming

Policy paper or report

Advantages and pitfalls of green public procurement as a European strategic tool

Lappe, M.-S. and F. Nicoli

Bruegel Working Paper 21/2025, Bruegel

Journal article

Assessing stringency: a survey experiment of energy saving policies across five EU countries

Salmanova, A., Nicoli, F. and C. Dupont

Public Policy and Administration, OnlineFirst

Journal article

Automation & political realignment: the impact of "losers" occupational trajectories on core political values

Buzzelli G. Nicoli F. & S. Sacchi

Political Studies, forthcoming.

Journal article

Citizen Support for a European Defense Union: international conjoint experiment on security cooperation in Europe

Nicoli, F., Burgoon, B. and F. Nicoli

International Studies Quarterly

Policy paper or report

Deterrence Without Federation?

Nicoli, F

Fondazione CSF Policy Papers, No.005/2025

Journal article

European Green Industrial Policy at a Crossroads? A Pilot Set of Conjoint Experiments Among Policy Experts

Lappe, M. S. And F. Nicoli

Contemporary European Politics, online first

Journal article

Future Impacts of Industry 4.0 on Labour Markets and Production Reshoring, Concentration and Sustainability: A Prospective Literature Review

Buzzelli, G. and F. Nicoli

Global Society, 1-37. https://doi.org/10.1080/13600826.2025.2555174

Policy paper or report

How can Europe's nuclear deterrence trilemma be resolved? B

Gilli, A. and F. Nicoli

ruegel Working Paper 12/2025, Bruegel

Journal article

On the design of a European Health Union: public preferences, trust, and experience with the Covid-19 crisis

Beetsma, R. and F. Nicoli

Regulation and Governance, OnlineFirst.

Journal article

Partisan cueing and preferences for European fiscal integration in the European Union

Meijers, M., Bremer, B., Kuhn, T. And F. Nicoli

Western European Politics

Book or edited volume

Relaunching Europe's space economy. Bruegel Blueprint Series, Brussels, ISBN: 978-9-078910-63-3

Veugelers, R. Sekut K. And F. Nicoli

Relaunching Europe's space economy. Bruegel Blueprint Series, Brussels, ISBN: 978-9-078910-63-3

Journal article

Unpacking Public Support for Nuclear Energy: A Twin Conjoint Experiment on Innovative Nuclear Fusion and Next-Generation Fission Technologies

Merve, B, Nicoli, F. and R. Lalli

Energy Policy, online first

Journal article

Closer During Crises? European Identity During the COVID-19 Pandemic and the Russian Invasion of Ukraine

Nicoli, F., Van der Duin, D., Beetsma, R., Bremer, B., Burgoon, B., Kuhn, T., Meijers, M. And A. De Ruijter

Journal of European Public Policy, volume 31, issue 10, pp. 3066-3092

Policy paper or report

Defense as a European Public Good: Delivery and Financing

Beetsma, R., Buti, M. and F. Nicoli

EconPol Forum No. 25 Issue 04

Journal article

Divided by borders, united in healthcare? Regional heterogeneities and technocratic solidarity during the Covid-19 pandemic

Reinl, A.K., Beetsma, R. And F. Nicoli

Journal of European Public Policy, volume 31, issue 6, pp. 1647-1674

Special issue

Escaping the Politics Trap? EU Integration Pathways Beyond the Polycrisis, Special Issue for the Journal of European Public Policy (JEPP)

Nicoli, F. and J. Zeitlin (eds)

Policy paper or report

European industrial policy at a crossroads? Evidence from an expert survey

Lappe, M.-S. and F. Nicoli

Bruegel Analysis Series

Journal article

Introduction. Escaping the Politics Trap? EU Integration Pathways Beyond the Polycrisis

Nicoli, F. and J. Zeitlin

Journal of European Public Policy, volume 31, issue 10, pp. 3011-3035

Journal article

Joint Defence as a European Public Good

Beetsma, R., Buti, M., and F. Nicoli

International Politics, Online First.

Policy paper or report

Joint public procurement as a tool for European Union industrial policy

Nicoli, F. and R. Beetsma

Bruegel Policy Brief, issue no. 18/2024

Journal article

Labour market risks and preferences for EU unemployment insurance: the effect of automation, globalization, and migration concerns

Nicoli, F., Burgoon, B., Sacchi, S. and G. Buzzelli

European Political Science Review, Online First

Policy paper or report

Space possibilities for our grandchildren: current and future economic uses of space

Terzi, A. and F. Nicoli

ECFIN Discussion paper 211/2024, Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs, European Commission

Policy paper or report

Space possibilities for our grandchildren: current and future economic uses of space

Terzi, A. and F. Nicoli

University of Cambridge, Bennett Institute for Public Policy, Working Paper No. 07/2024

Policy paper or report

Which Futures for the Fourth Industrial Revolution? A prospective literature review on medium- and long- term scenarios for Industry 4.0

Nicoli, F. and G. Buzzelli

Special Report to The High Council of Region Wallonia

Policy paper or report

Globalisation and automation as sources of labour-market competition, and support for European Union unemployment insurance

Nicoli, F., Sacchi, S., Burgoon, B. And G. Buzzelli

Bruegel Working Paper Series, Issue 13/2023

Journal article

In this together? Support for European Fiscal Integration in the COVID-19 Crisis

Bremen, B., Kuhn, T., Meijers, M. And F. Nicoli

Journal of European Public Policy, volume 31, issue 9, pp. 2582-2610

Journal article

is European attachment sufficiently strong to support an EU fiscal capacity? evidence from a conjoint experiment

Beetsma, R., Nicoli, F, and B. Burgoon

European Journal of Political Economy, volume 78

Journal article

Regional Inequalities and Supranational Solidarity in the European Union

Reinl, A.K., Kuhn, T. and F. Nicoli

Political Geography, volume 104

Policy paper or report

What would Europeans want a European defence union to look like?

Nicoli, F., Van der Duin, D. And B. Burgoon

Bruegel Working Paper Series, 09/2023

Journal article

Which Energy Security Union? An experiment on public preferences for energy union alternatives in 5 western European countries

Nicoli, F., Van der Duin, D. And B. Burgoon

Energy Policy, volume 183

Journal article

"In Trust we Trust?": The impact of trust in government on excess mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic

Zaki, B., Nicoli, F., Verschuere, B., and E. Waynenberg

Public Policy and Administration, No. 37, issue 2, 226-252.

Journal article

Contagious Inequality? Economic disparities and eccess mortality in the Covid-19 crisis

Zaki, B., Nicoli, F., Verschuere, B., and E. Waynenberg

Policy and Society, Volume 41, Issue 2, June 2022, pp. 199-216

Policy paper or report

Secular economic challenges and public support for policy interventions: technological change and globalization in a randomized survey experiment in 8 countries

Nicoli, F., Sacchi, S., Burgoon, B., Busemeyer, M. Gualtieri, V., Luppi, M. and L. Hetzer

INAPP paper 33

Book chapter

Stronger together in adversity? Solidarity preferences in Germany and Italy during COVID-19

Reinl, A.K. and F. Nicoli

Chapter in Notermans, T., Piattoni, S., and L. Verzichelli (eds) (2022) "Fin Che la Nave va? Italy and Germany in the Covid-19 crisis." Villa Vigoni Publishing

Journal article

The impact of policy design on public support for European-level Unemployment Risk Sharing: Evidence from a Multi-country Conjoint Experiment

Burgoon, B; Kuhn, T., Nicoli, F. and F. Vandenbroucke

European Union Politics, No. 23, issue 2, pp. 282-308

Book chapter

The politicization trap and how to escape it: intergovernmentalism, politicization and competences mismatch in perspective

Nicoli, F., Van der Duin, D. And A. Vaznonyte

Chapter in Mércenier, H. (eds) (2022), "the Politicization of the EU", Brussels: Brussels University Press (forthcoming)

Journal article

Which kind of EU fiscal capacity?

Beetsma, R., Burgoon, B., Nicoli, F: de Ruijter, A. And F. Vandenbroucke

Economic Policy, volume 37, Issue 111, July 2022, pp 411-459

Book chapter

"Democratic legitimacy in times of European upheaval", Chapter in Montani, G. (eds) (2021), The Future of Europe and the Future of the Planet

Nicoli, F. and C. Dupont

The Spinelli Institute for Federalist Studies, pp. 43-53

Journal article

Conditionality, reciprocity and deservingness in multilevel social policy: Evidence from a conjoint experiment on public support for European unemployment risk-sharing

Baute, S., Nicoli, F., and F. Vandenbroucke

Journal of Common Market Studies (JCMS), online-first

Journal article

Not So Far East? the impact of central-eastern European imports on the Brexit referendum

Nicoli, F., Guelen Walters, D., A. K. Reinl

Journal of European Public Policy, online-first

Journal article

Public support for European cooperation in the procurement, stockpiling and distribution of medicines

Beetsma, R., Burgoon, B., Nicoli, F: de Ruijter, A. And F. Vandenbroucke

European Journal of Public Health 31 (2), 253-258

Policy paper or report

Centralisering van EU-beleid infectieziekten kan op steun rekenen

Beetsma, R. M. W. J., Burgoon, B. M., Nicoli, F., de Ruijter, A. & Vandenbroucke, F. I. G

Economisch-Statistische Berichten. p. 228-229

Special issue

Collective Identities and Integration of Core State Powers

Kuhn, T. and F. Nicoli (eds)

Special Issue for the Journal of Common Market Studies (JCMS), Vol. 28, Issue 1

Journal article

Collective Identities and integration of core state powers: an introduction

Kuhn, T., & F. Nicoli

Journal of Common Market Studies (JCMS) vol 58, issue 1, pp. 3-20

Journal article

Collective Identities, European Solidarity: Identification patterns and preferences for European social policy

Nicoli, F., Kuhn, T. and B. Burgoon

Journal of Common Market Studies (JCMS), Vol. 58, issue 1, pp 76-95

Journal article

Common currency, common identity? A quantitative assessment of the relationship between state powers and identity building in the case of the Euro

Negri, F., Nicoli, F. and T. Kuhn

European Union Politics, Online First

Book chapter

Democratic Deficit and Its Counter-Movements: The Eurocentric-Eurosceptic Divide in Times of Functional Legitimacy. Chapter in: Baldassarri, M. and E. Castelli (eds) (2020)

Nicoli, F

Opposing Europe, Springer

Policy paper or report

EU Solidarity and Policy in Fighting Infectious Diseases: State of Play, Obstacles, Citizen Preferences and Ways Forward

Ruijter A., Beetsma R., Burgoon B.,, Nicoli F., Vandenbroucke F

CESifo Working Paper No. 8222, 2020

Book chapter

EU Solidarity and Policy in Fighting Infectious Diseases: State of Play, Obstacles, Citizen Preferences and Ways Forward. Chapter in: Bénassy-Quéré, A. and B. Weder-Di Mauro (2020)

Ruijter A., Beetsma R., Burgoon B., Nicoli F., Vandenbroucke F

Europe in the time of Covid-19. London: CEPR Press, pp. 21-28

Journal article

Preferences for European unemployment insurance: a question of economic ideology or EU support?

Kuhn, T., Nicoli, F. and F. Vandenbroucke

Journal of European Public Policy (JEPP), Vol.27, issue 2, pp. 208-226

Book chapter

The European Commission's SURE Initiative and the Euro Area Unemployment Reinsurance. Chapter in: Bénassy-Quéré, A. and B. Weder-Di Mauro (2020)

Vandenbrouke, F., Andor, L., Beetsma, R., Burgoon, B., Fischer, G., Kuhn, T., Luijges, C. and F. Nicoli

Europe in the time of Covid-19. London: CEPR Press, pp. 57-65

Policy paper or report

What Kind of EU Fiscal Capacity? Evidence from a Randomized Survey Experiment in Five European Countries in Times of Corona

Beetsma, R. M. W. J., Burgoon, B. M., Nicoli, F., de Ruijter, A. & Vandenbroucke, F. I. G

CESifo Working Paper No 8470, 2020

Journal article

A tale of two crises? A regional-level investigation of the joint effect of economic performance and migration on the Eurosceptic milieu

Nicoli, F. and A. K. Reinl

Comparative European Politics, Online First

Journal article

Europe Beyond the Polycrsis? Politicization and integration in the age of shifting cleavages: an introduction

Zeitlin, J. Nicoli, F. and B. Laffan

Journal of European Public Policy (JEPP), Vol. 26, Issue 7, pp. 963-976

Book or edited volume

Europe Beyond the Polycrsis? Politicization and integration in the age of shifting cleavages. London: Routledge

Zeitlin, J: and F. Nicoli (eds)

Europe Beyond the Polycrsis? Politicization and integration in the age of shifting cleavages. London: Routledge

Special issue

Europe Beyond the Polycrsis? Politicization and integration in the age of shifting cleavages. Special Issue for the

Zeitlin, J: and F. Nicoli (eds)

Journal of European Public Policy (JEPP), Vol. 26, Issue 7

Policy paper or report

European Unemployment Insurance: what citizens really think

Vandenbroucke, F. and F. Nicoli

Notre Europe Policy Brief, February 2019

Journal article

Neofunctionalism revisited: integration theory and varieties of outcomes in the Eurocrisis

Nicoli, F

Journal of European Integration, Volume 42, 2020 - Issue 7, pp. 897-916

Journal article

'Integration through crises? A quantitative assessment of the effect of the Eurocrisis on preferences for fiscal integration

Nicoli, F

Comparative European Politics, Vol. 17, Issue 3, pp.397-425

Policy paper or report

Risk Sharing When Unemployment Hits: How Policy Design Influences Citizen Support For European Unemployment Risk Sharing (EURS). AISSR Policy Report No. 1 (December 2018)

Vandenbroucke, F., Burgoon, B., Kuhn, T., Nicoli, F., Sacchi, S., van der Duin, D., Hegewald, S

Risk Sharing When Unemployment Hits: How Policy Design Influences Citizen Support For European Unemployment Risk Sharing (EURS). AISSR Policy Report No. 1 (December 2018)

Policy paper or report

Additional Effects of a European Unemployment Benefit Scheme. European Commission, DG-EMPL, Directorate A

Alcidi, C., Barslund, M., Busse, M Ludolph, L., Nicoli, F. and G. Thirion

Additional Effects of a European Unemployment Benefit Scheme. European Commission, DG-EMPL, Directorate A

Journal article

Democratic legitimacy in the Era of Fiscal Integration

Nicoli, F

Journal of European Integration, vol. 39, Issue 4, pp. 389-404

Journal article

Hard-line Euroscepticism and the economic crisis: evidence from a 108 elections panel study across Europe

Nicoli, F

Journal of Common Market Studies, 55, No. 2,pp. 312-331

Journal article

From Governance to Government? Towards a Genuine Economic and Monetary Union

Nicoli, F

Politica Economica-Journal of Economic Policy, Vol. 32, Issue 3, pp. 413-440

Journal article

Governance in the 2025 run-up: a Joint Budgetary Procedure

Nicoli, F

Perspectives on Federalism, Vol. 8, Issue 2, pp. 100-124

Policy paper or report

Will a European unemployment benefit scheme affect labour mobility?

Alcidi, C., Barslund, M., Busse, M and F. Nicoli

CEPS special report, No. 152, December 2016

Journal article

Eurocrisis and the Myths of European Redistribution: Illegitimate, Unsustainable, Inefficient?

Nicoli, F

Perspectives on Federalism, Vol. 7, Issue 3, pp. 19-48

Book chapter

Legitimacy, Democracy, and the future of European Integration Chapter in: Krieger, T., Panke, D. and B. Neumaker (eds) (2015) Europe's Crisis: the conflict-theoretical perspective, Nomos, Freiburg

Nicoli, F

Legitimacy, Democracy, and the future of European Integration Chapter in: Krieger, T., Panke, D. and B. Neumaker (eds) (2015) Europe's Crisis: the conflict-theoretical perspective, Nomos, Freiburg

Book chapter

Populism, Polarization, Politicization, Participation. Projecting the EU Beyond the Market? Chapter in "Growing Populism and European Elections." Institute of European Democrats, Spring 2014

Nicoli, F

Populism, Polarization, Politicization, Participation. Projecting the EU Beyond the Market? Chapter in "Growing Populism and European Elections." Institute of European Democrats, Spring 2014

Book chapter

The Long Term Implications of the Euro Crisis for European Integration. Chapter in: Basevi, G., Daianu, D., D'Adda, C. and R. Kumar (eds) (2014) The Eurozone Crisis and the Future of Europe: Challenges and Prospects for Integration and Governance, Palgrave Macmillan, 2014

Nicoli, F. and F. Zuleeg

The Long Term Implications of the Euro Crisis for European Integration. Chapter in: Basevi, G., Daianu, D., D'Adda, C. and R. Kumar (eds) (2014) The Eurozone Crisis and the Future of Europe: Challenges and Prospects for Integration and Governance, Palgrave Macmillan, 2014

Research contribution

Verso un Meccanismo Europeo di Accordi Contrattuali. Chapter in: Paganetto, L. (eds) (2014) "

Bonatti, L

Revitalizing Anaemic Europe: Rapporto del Gruppo dei 20". Fondazione Economia Tor Vergata, Eurilink

Policy paper or report

Completing the Single European Labour Market

Dhéret, C., Pascouau, Y., Lazarowich, A. and F. Nicoli

EPC Issue Paper No. 73, May 2013

Policy paper or report

Pathways for a Genuine Fiscal Union

Nicoli, F

EPC Policy Brief, June 2013

Policy paper or report

The impact of the European Fiscal Union on local autonomies: in-depth analysis of Copenhagen, Warsaw and Bremen. EPC Report for the Committee of the Regions, June 2013

Dhéret, C., Nicoli, F. and F. Zuleeg

The impact of the European Fiscal Union on local autonomies: in-depth analysis of Copenhagen, Warsaw and Bremen. EPC Report for the Committee of the Regions, June 2013

Policy paper or report

The impact of the European Fiscal Union on regional authorities: in-depth analysis of Catalonia, PACA Region and Province of Trento. EPC Report for the Committee of the Regions, June 2013

Dhéret, C., Nicoli, F. and F. Zuleeg

The impact of the European Fiscal Union on regional authorities: in-depth analysis of Catalonia, PACA Region and Province of Trento. EPC Report for the Committee of the Regions, June 2013

Research contribution

An Assessment of the European Semester. Bruegel. Study in behalf of the European Parliament, policy department A-economic and scientific policy/ECON

Hallerberg, M., Marzinotto, Wolff, G., Andreicut, D., Granelli, G. Nicoli, F. and P. Schuseil

An Assessment of the European Semester. Bruegel. Study in behalf of the European Parliament, policy department A-economic and scientific policy/ECON

Research contribution

Investment and growth in the time of climate change. European Investment Bank- Economic Department, Luxembourg

Kolev, A., Riess, D., Zachmann, G. and E. Calthrop

Investment and growth in the time of climate change. European Investment Bank- Economic Department, Luxembourg

Policy paper or report

The implications of an EU fiscal union for local and regional authorities. Report to the Committee of the Regions, EPC, Brussels, November 2012

Dhéret, C., Nicoli, F. and F. Zuleeg

The implications of an EU fiscal union for local and regional authorities. Report to the Committee of the Regions, EPC, Brussels, November 2012